2015年底前澳洲房价将暴涨 20%

ANZ: 2015年底前澳洲房价将暴涨 20%

2014年2月13日澳新银行(ANZ),澳洲最大的银行之一,预测: 2015年底前澳洲房价将暴涨 20%。

澳新银行首席经济学家Warren Hogan向澳洲经济发展委员会透露,继低利率和市场短缺后,“房市处于周期性上升的初期阶段”。

“我们预计,在2013年和2015年之间房价将会上升15-20%,”他说道在悉尼和墨尔本已经迎来了久违的房价上升趋势。

但是澳洲社会服务委员会 (Australian Council of Social Services)的首席执行官Cassandra Goldie告诫称,房价的经济表现向好,使得部分人无力购房。 她比喻道,“这是给我们的住房可负担能力下了一颗定时炸弹。”

但是Hogan说,虽然市场上的投资者和“新入市者”—比如不用在澳洲借贷的华人和其他海外购房者,使房价上涨趋势愈演愈烈,但是专家赞同的是,澳洲还没有出现房产泡沫。澳洲联邦银行的领导 Ian Narev 表示,“我们没有说过永远—但是我们认为,现阶段还没有出现有房市泡沫的早期迹象。”

“虽然我们的贷款业务确实增长了18%,但如果把四大银行一起看待,整个系统只增长了5%。现在还不存在过渡放贷的危机,所以也不存在泡沫。”

延伸阅读
× ANZ tips sharp housing price rise before the end of next year


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